We expect it will not be until the May CPI data are out before we see broad evidence of tariffs showing up in inflation data,
What we seem to have here, then, is a broad framework under which the two nations can conduct further talks, with the aim of reaching a broader trade agreement,
Not the worst case outcome that was possible from this weekend's talks, far from it, but not a concrete deal either,
In this regard, we think June is too early for the Fed to cut rates and maintain our view that Q3, and most probably September, is a more realistic time frame,
I'm not sure I would hit the 'buy' button on what we have heard today, but if we can make substantive progress with China I think the market will like it,
They all look a little bit like the UK deal but each one is bespoke,
The meeting achieved substantial progress, and reached important consensus,
This is a step in the right direction, showing that both sides are interested in coming to a constructive conclusion and develop a better trade relationship,
Markets may be encouraged by some agreement on a deal, but it will remain contingent on further details being released,
The talks reflect that the current state of the trade relations with these extremely high tariffs is ultimately in the interests of neither the United States nor China,
Any reduction in tensions is good news for businesses that depend on trade between the United States and China, ... but I would be cautious about expecting too much from just two days of meetings.”
I love to see these nerds all of a sudden try to man up,
We’re essentially starting over, starting from scratch with the Chinese, ... and they seem to think that they really want to rebuild a relationship that’s great for both of us.”
We are the consumer of the world. Everybody wants to sell their goods here,
Talks should never be a pretext for continued coercion or extortion, and China will firmly reject any proposal that compromises core principles or undermines the broader cause of global equity.”
Secretary Bessent has made clear that one of his objectives is to de-escalate,
Negotiations to begin de-escalating the growing US–China trade war are badly needed, and it’s a positive sign that both sides were able to gracefully move beyond their bickering over who had to call first,
U.S. Announces China Trade Deal in Geneva”
I’m happy to report that we made substantial progress between the United States and China in the very important trade talks,
We’re confident that the deal we struck with our Chinese partners will help us to work toward resolving that national emergency,