I wouldn't want to buy the open because it is so indiscriminate,
They've got real tariff problems even [at] 30%,
We went this weekend from being enemies [with China] to being adversaries. And, there's a very big difference: enemy, meaning that I always felt that things could really spiral out of control; trade adversaries, meaning that we're going to try to deal within the notion of commerce."
While the lower tariffs are technically only in place for 90 days, and 30% is still quite large on an absolute basis, the news is clearly an upside positive surprise,
The trade détente between Washington and Beijing is clearly an upside surprise, but we continue to think the overall tariff burden will be significantly higher going forward than it was in January, placing stagflationary pressures on the domestic economy,
We believe the risk of a more severe economic downturn is now more limited, and we rate US equities as Attractive,
The market was not expecting the big change to US and China tariff rates, which is very positive for the outlook for the US and the global economy,
The 90-day period may not be sufficient for the two sides to reach a detailed agreement, but it keeps the pressure on the negotiation process,
We expect financial markets to remain volatile over the coming months, as they have almost fully priced out negative economic surprises and could once again be disrupted by more serious obstacles in trade negotiations,
The impact of tariffs on growth will now need to be revised lower, which is boosting the dollar... Safe havens like gold are also seeing demand slip away,
They are going to be one especially given the China tariffs…and we'll see what happens with the H20,
It's actually a positive for names like Palantir… it could be bullish for Oracle, it could actually be bullish for Microsoft.. as that plays out, more and more goes to software,
I would imagine in the next few weeks we will be meeting again to get rolling on a more fulsome agreement,
I had seen what’s going on in the Chinese economy. We can see what’s going on with the shipments to the US,
There are still lots of factors pointing away from a (global) recession, and this morning’s news of lower US-China tariffs adds to that evidence,
We were firm, and we moved forward,
What we do want is a decoupling for strategic necessities, which we were unable to obtain during Covid,
As ever, it’s clear that these deals aren’t even sided. That’s the same percentage point reduction as on the other side of the coin, but the US is still subject to lower tariffs,
Markets have welcomed the tentative US-China trade agreement with open arms,
Both countries represented their national interest very well,