One reason why few expect tariffs alone to create an inflationary cycle is that the FOMC intends to keep making it unprofitable,
It’s more akin to what we saw in the pandemic: supply disruptions quickly leading to a contraction, but activity can also pick up again quickly if and when those disruptions dissipate,
The past few weeks have shown how unpredictable the global economy can be. That's why we need to stick to a gradual and careful approach to further rate cuts,
The uncertainty resulting from the new US trade policy may put downward pressure on inflation in Europe,
Here, however, is where recession can begin,
That’s very different from a typical recession caused by weakening demand,
There's no real cost to our waiting at this point,
'To ... Too Late' Jerome Powell is a FOOL, who doesn't have a clue,
We’ve been there for inflation for a couple of years and we wanted to show also that we’re there for the labor market, and it’s important that we sent that signal,
Many firms (in the Boston Fed’s district) planned to pause or limit hiring going forward because of policy uncertainty,
Any sign of growing slack in the jobs market would give the Fed some reassurance that inflationary pressures will subside, and give them room to offer more support to the economy with rate cuts,
When the Fed starts to see the unemployment rate rise and nonfarm payrolls start to crack, they’re going to prioritize the employment side,
The Fed surprised everyone with that 50 basis-point cut,
The unemployment rate went up by almost a full percentage point, and it was click, click, click, click, click each month, and everywhere people were talking about downside risks to the labor market,
We are always going to do the same thing, which is we are going to use our tools to foster maximum employment and price stability for the benefit of the American people,
Up until now, the higher rate of interest meant borrowers paying even more interest on credit cards, loans and other types of variable-rate debt,
It’s much too early to tell which way this will shake out.”
That is what has the most potential to have a real impact on the markets,
I do think we have to allow for a wider range of possibilities, particularly the idea that inflation could surprise to the upside."
There's nothing investors like less than uncertainty and the Fed isn't in a position to offer them certainty,