The only hesitation or pause is the demand piece in the second half of the year, specifically in the businesses that have more exposure to China, and how that's going to play out from a tariffs standpoint,
We can see green shoots in Europe as far as short-cycle demand. China has been good for us, too. China is not a big revenue driver for us. It's about 5%, but China demand is there. So, we're seeing that,
There is some activity that was actually underway even before the acceleration of some of the tariff conversation over the past several months,
We are in a situation where our supply chains are manageable. We have a competitive position that gives us an opportunity to make sure we can manage [these] things,
We're offsetting with price escalations and other actions as far as our supply chain,
We have received multiple inquiries from shipping companies about urgently adjusting berthing schedules, so we are rerouting ships from other lines to handle the expected surge in shipments,
Some buyers told me that the sudden surge in urgent travel bookings has driven up airfares from some US cities to Zhejiang in recent days,
While North American routes remain under cautious adjustment, emerging markets, including Latin America, Africa, are seeing steady route expansion, becoming crucial alternatives for Chinese exports seeking new growth channels,
The 90-day 'freeze period' creates room for further negotiation, but the process is still clouded by potential shifts in US policy,
The [tariff] pain will be immediate and it will hurt the most vulnerable. Full stop. And after years of economic slowdown already,
We will do our best to address issues such as salary payments, social insurance, and other legally required responsibilities."
The US is going to do a strategic decoupling in terms of the items that we discovered during COVID were of national security interests – whether it’s semiconductors, medicine, steel,
The US has made noises that it may be going for more purchase agreements. But the American economy took a hit last time from similar arrangements,
It could take a long time to reach a detailed agreement, if one is even possible,
I think that Washington overplayed its hand with Beijing,
The key theme for global stocks this week is the resurgence of big tech, which is why the FTSE 100 is out of favour, it is too risk averse for this environment,
The rally for European stocks has stalled, although the index is still eking out a decent weekly gain,
And it still leaves Australia facing a global economy that is less open and less multilateral. The assumption would be 10% tariffs on Australia, with the hope of something better on steel and aluminium,
That uncertainty is worse than the 10% tariff,
Certainly countries are not coming on bended knees,